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Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Massachusetts was not an upset

Hillary has always been ahead in Massachusetts. She's been ahead for 14 months. She was 11 points ahead only 2 days ago. For the pundits - especially Chris Matthews - to keep trumpeting Hillary's victory in Massachusetts as an "upset", as though she was expected to lose, is absurd. Yes, she won - and kudos to her for that. But it was expected for the past 14 months. A good week after Ted Kennedy endorsed Obama, Hillary was still up by 11 points. Was there some thought that Obama might upset Hillary and take the state? Yes. But not losing a sure thing does not an upset make. It's just not an upset when you win a state you were expected to win for over a year. Below are the Massachusetts polls for the past year and then some.

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