Friday, March 21, 2008

Vandehei & Allen: Hillary can't win

A blistering analysis of how the race is already over for Hillary. She lost. But the media, for some odd reason, is afraid to tell people that. So they continue to pretend that it's really really close. It's not. But hey, maybe Hillary can knee-cap the black guy Obama before we have to take on our real enemy, the Republicans. And anything the Clintons can do to harm our chances in the general election in the fall only helps Hillary run again another day.

And it doesn't hurt Mark Penn's firm's other "client," John McCain, either.

One big fact has largely been lost in the recent coverage of the Democratic presidential race: Hillary Rodham Clinton has virtually no chance of winning.

Her own campaign acknowledges there is no way that she will finish ahead in pledged delegates. That means the only way she wins is if Democratic superdelegates are ready to risk a backlash of historic proportions from the party’s most reliable constituency.

Unless Clinton is able to at least win the primary popular vote — which also would take nothing less than an electoral miracle — and use that achievement to pressure superdelegates, she has only one scenario for victory. An African-American opponent and his backers would be told that, even though he won the contest with voters, the prize is going to someone else.

People who think that scenario is even remotely likely are living on another planet.

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