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Tuesday, April 22, 2008

About those supposed Clinton & Obama voters going for McCain

These surveys, about what percentage of Clinton and Obama voters would rather vote for McCain than the other Democrat, have it all wrong. You don't ask Obama voters a generic hypothetical about whether they'd vote for Hillary if she won the nomination. I don't know a single Obama voter who wouldn't. You ask Obama voters if they'd vote for Hillary if she gets the nomination even if she never catches up to Obama in pledged delegates (i.e., she's handed the nomination by the SuperDelegates and/or some trick involving reinstating Florida and Michigan). Then watch and see how many Obama voters are willing to support her. I think you'll be lucky if she breaks 50%.

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