There are basically two types of exit poll reports emerging. One is the horse race number (which is leaked) -- the other looks at the demographics of the voters, which is widely shared by major news entities.
Before you read any of them, read this post from Markos: Ignore Exit Polls.
There are two currently two versions of the horse race circulating. Josh Marshall has both, with the necessary caveats:
As you may have noticed Drudge has up what he says are 5 PM exit poll numbers showing Clinton 52%, Obama 48%. I suspect they are 'accurate' as far as early, un-weighted exits can be. But let me point out that my recollection is that pretty much all the early and unweighted exits we've seen this cycle have turned out to be wrong. And often very wrong. So this has to be taken with a real grain of salt. And that's assuming they're not made up entirely.Keep in mind, these numbers are very subject to change...against Obama.
Late Update: Jim Geraghty at NRO has Obama 52%, Clinton 47%.
And to be clear, when I say take them with a grain of salt, I don't mean that in the garden variety, being responsible, 'we don't know for sure yet' kind of way. I really mean that these early unweighted numbers have routinely been way, way off.
On the demographics, The Associated Press provided this info:
Interviews with voters leaving the polls showed almost six in 10 were women and three in 10 were age 65 or over.CNN offers this:
Some voters had a hard time making up their minds. One in five said they decided for whom to vote within the last week and about one in 10 said they made up their minds Tuesday, according to the preliminary results of exit polling for The Associated Press and television networks.
A quarter of voters had household family income of more than $100,000 last year and about as many reported having a postgraduate degree. Those groups tend to vote for Obama.
Obama is winning 92 percent of black voters, among his highest margin to date in that demographic. Meanwhile, Clinton is winning among voters 65 and over by a 23 point margin, 61 to 38 percent.Huffington Post has a very extensive report of all the numbers rolling in.







