UPDATED: I should never write posts with just one poll. No sooner was this post up, when a new poll was released from SurveyUSA. In that poll, Clinton leads by 18 points: 56 - 38. Rasmussen Reports has the race at 48% - 43%.
Before you read this latest poll, remember, Pennsylvania is supposed to be a blowout for Hillary Clinton. Given the state's demographics, she should win by a wide margin. She should. Okay, now read Quinnipiac's latest Pennsylvania poll:
Illinois Sen. Barack Obama is catching up with New York Sen. Hillary Clinton in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary and now trails 50 - 44 percent among likely primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.One other thing while we're on the subject of polls. Today, the New York Times profiled Geoff Garin, Clinton's pollster. I can attest to the fact that Geoff Garin is very smart and tactical. He is a real Democrat and, basically, a very good guy. Geoff is no Mark Penn. He's the polar opposite.
This compares to a 50 - 41 percent Sen. Clinton lead in an April 2 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University.
In this latest survey, one of the biggest shifts is among women who went from 54 - 37 percent for Clinton April 2 to 54 - 41 percent for her today. A look at other groups shows:
* White voters for Clinton 56 - 38 percent, down from 59 - 34 percent last week.
* Black voters back Obama 75 - 17 percent, compared to 73 - 11 percent.
* Men are for Obama 48 - 44 percent, compared to a 46 - 46 percent tie last week.
* Voters under 45 go with Obama 55 - 40, while older voters back Clinton 55 - 38 percent.
Main & gay blog