Tonight is about the pledged delegates and it will be a good night for Obama

About the only person worth watching on cable news tonight, besides Olbermann and Maddow, is Chuck Todd. I can't watch Lou Dobbs. Ever. So CNN lost me for the night.

Todd estimates that Obama will reach the majority of pledged delegates once Kentucky is counted. The "magic number" is 1627. NBC has Obama at 1612. (Democratic Convention Watch has Obama at 1612.5.) -- Also, after Oregon, Obama could surpass the majority even if Florida and Michigan are included as is. It's fun to watch Todd in action.

Big thanks to Jed for the video.