A pollster whose mathematical model has correctly predicted every winner of the White House popular vote since 1988 is banking on a decisive victory for Democrat Barack Obama in November.
Emory University political scientist Alan Abramowitz said Wednesday that according to his "time for change" model, Obama would secure 54.3 percent of the popular vote against 45.7 percent for Republican John McCain.
That margin would virtually guarantee a crushing victory for the Democrat in the state-by-state electoral college that actually selects the next president, Abramowitz said.
Improving Unemployment Numbers Make Political Case for Jobs Bill Stronger,
Not Weaker
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Paul Krugman is worried that the today's relatively good employment
situation report -- just 11,000 jobs were lost, and the unemployment rate
(which is cal...
24 minutes ago
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